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Kalshi 15m Crypto Probability Bot

Strategy:

  • Every loop, discover the nearest-close open 15-minute "Up or Down" market for BTC/ETH/SOL
  • At T - 6 minutes (configurable), if YES ask or NO ask is between 70% and 95%, place a bet
  • Stake tiers:
    • 70–80% => $1
    • 80–90% => $2
    • 90–95% => $2 (change in config.yaml)

Setup (Mac / Linux)

python3 -m venv .venv
source .venv/bin/activate
pip install -r requirements.txt
cp .env.example .env
# edit .env with your key id + private key path
source .env
python bot.py
S
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